Stages

#StageUnitSellsLead time (years)BottleneckKey figuresPlayers
1Power generation and fuelMWfirm electricity and the fuel behind it (gas turbines and gas supply; nuclear restarts and uprates; solar with batteries; on-site generation)3–1,280.8 GW us_utility_scale_generating_capacity 86 GW planned_capacity_additions_2026NYSE:GEV, ETR:ENR, TYO:7011, NASDAQ:CEG
2Grid, interconnection and transformersMW connecteda connection that can deliver the power to a site: transmission, substations, transformers and switchgear3–2,061 GW us_active_interconnection_queue_capacity 253 GW queue_natural_gas_capacityTYO:6501, NYSE:GEV, ETR:ENR, NYSE:ETN
3Data centre shell and coolingMW of IT loada building with power, cooling and networking ready for racks, sold as capacity by the megawatt1.5–1.4 % of built colocation capacity us_primary_market_vacancy_rate 7,481.1 MW of colocation capacity us_primary_market_under_constructionNASDAQ:EQIX, NYSE:DLR, private, private (owned by Blackstone, NYSE:BX)
4Wafers and advanced packagingwafers per monthleading-edge logic wafers and the CoWoS packaging that joins a GPU die to its memory2–89 USD billion per quarter nvidia_data_center_revenue_q2_fy2027 75.2 USD billion per quarter nvidia_data_center_revenue_q1_fy2027NASDAQ:NVDA, NASDAQ:AMD, NASDAQ:AVGO, NASDAQ:MRVL
5Memory and storage (HBM, DRAM, NAND)GB and HBM stackshigh-bandwidth memory stacked on each GPU, server DRAM, and the NAND behind enterprise SSDs1.5–56.4 % of global HBM revenue hbm_market_share_sk_hynix_1q26 50 % of global HBM revenue hbm_market_share_sk_hynix_2q26KRX:000660 (ADS: NASDAQ:SKHY), KRX:005930, NASDAQ:MU, NASDAQ:SNDK
6GPUs, servers, racks and networkingGPUsaccelerators assembled into servers and racks with the network that ties them into a cluster0.75–2.8 USD million per GB200 NVL72 rack (low end of reported range) gb200_nvl72_rack_price_low 400,000 USD per 8-GPU HGX B200 server (low end of reported range) hgx_b200_8gpu_server_price_lowTWSE:2317, TWSE:2382, TWSE:6669, NASDAQ:SMCI
7GPU-hoursGPU-hourrented accelerator time under multi-year contracts (neoclouds) or used internally (hyperscalers)1–130 USD bn (2026 capital expenditures incl. principal payments on finance leases, low end of range) meta_capex_guidance_2026_low 145 USD bn (2026 capital expenditures incl. principal payments on finance leases, high end of range) meta_capex_guidance_2026_highNASDAQ:MSFT, NASDAQ:GOOGL, NASDAQ:AMZN, NASDAQ:META
8Tokenstokensmodel output sold by the million tokens, trained and served on rented or owned GPU-hours0.5–3,200 trillion tokens per month (3.2 quadrillion) google_tokens_processed_per_month 480 trillion tokens per month google_tokens_processed_per_month_prior_yearNASDAQ:GOOGL, private, private, NASDAQ:META
9Applications and end demandtokens consumed per user per dayproducts that turn tokens into revenue, split by how much compute each consumes0.25–3,200 trillion tokens per month across Google products and APIs (floor: 'over 3.2 quadrillion') google_tokens_processed_per_month 950 million monthly active users of the Gemini app gemini_app_monthly_active_usersNASDAQ:MSFT, private, NASDAQ:GOOGL, private

Consumption tiers

TierNameExamplesTokens per user per dayRevenue model
heavyAgentic coding and autonomous agentscoding agents that run for hours; research agents>1000000usage or high seat price
highVideo and image generationtext-to-video and image modelsn/a (per output)per generation
mediumEnterprise copilots and searchoffice copilots; customer-service agents; AI search50000-500000per seat
lightConsumer chat assistantsgeneral chat assistants5000-50000subscription or free with ads
edgeOn-device and roboticsphones, cars, robotsn/ahardware